2027 Ogun Governorship Race Heats Up as Political Titans Begin Early Moves

Abeokuta, Ogun State – Although the 2027 governorship election in Ogun State is nearly two years away, the political terrain is already bubbling with intense activities. By May 29, 2027, Governor Dapo Abiodun of the All Progressives Congress (APC) would have completed his constitutionally permitted two terms as the fifth civilian governor of the state, leaving the race wide open for a new leadership.

As reported by Legit.ng, early signs of political maneuvering are already evident across party lines. Prominent figures are emerging, consultations are ongoing, and alliances are quietly being built behind closed doors. From within the ruling APC to the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and even among lesser-known parties, the chessboard is gradually being set.

APC Releases 2025 Bye-Election Timetable, Fixes Nomination Forms at ₦20 Million For Senate Aspirants

Governor Abiodun’s Legacy and the APC’s Dilemma

Governor Abiodun’s tenure has been marked by significant infrastructural development, industrial expansion, and efforts to strengthen the education and healthcare sectors. However, his administration has also faced criticism over economic challenges and pockets of discontent in parts of the state.

With Abiodun constitutionally barred from seeking re-election, the APC now faces the delicate task of choosing a successor capable of sustaining its hold on power in the Gateway State. Given the political importance of Ogun in the South-West zone and its proximity to Lagos, the 2027 race is expected to be a high-stakes contest.

Likely APC Candidates

1. Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi)

Perhaps the most talked-about potential aspirant within the APC is Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola, popularly known as “Yayi.” Currently representing Ogun West in the National Assembly, Yayi is a seasoned lawmaker with political roots in Lagos, where he previously served as a senator.

Having gradually shifted his political base to Ogun West, Yayi has been strategic in consolidating grassroots support, particularly among the Yewa-Awori people who have long agitated for a chance to produce a governor. His ambition aligns with regional sentiment, as Ogun West remains the only senatorial district in the state yet to produce a governor since 1976.

Yayi’s supporters argue that his legislative experience and national political exposure make him an ideal candidate to carry forward the APC’s legacy in Ogun.

2. Sarafa Tunji-Ishola

Another APC heavyweight being mentioned is Sarafa Tunji-Ishola, a former Minister of Mines and Steel Development and a respected technocrat. Known for his deep political networks and diplomatic posture, Tunji-Ishola is believed to enjoy goodwill both at the grassroots and among political elites.

Though he has been relatively quiet in recent years, political watchers believe his calculated silence may be part of a broader strategy. His candidacy could appeal to moderates and technocrats within the APC who seek a less confrontational and more policy-driven governance model.

Potential PDP Candidates

3. Ladi Adebutu

On the PDP front, Hon. Ladi Adebutu remains the most prominent figure. The former member of the House of Representatives was the PDP’s flag bearer in the 2023 governorship election and has continued to maintain political relevance within the state.

Despite the legal and electoral setbacks that trailed his 2023 bid, Adebutu has remained active, engaging with stakeholders, party faithful, and community leaders. Known for his philanthropic activities and expansive political structure, Adebutu is likely to make another strong push for the governorship seat in 2027.

His major challenge, however, may lie in uniting the divided ranks of the PDP in Ogun and countering APC’s formidable machinery.

4. Segun Showunmi

Another potential contender from the PDP is Segun Showunmi, a media strategist and former spokesperson to Atiku Abubakar, the PDP’s 2019 presidential candidate. Showunmi is vocal, articulate, and known for his bold political opinions.

Though he has not officially declared his intention to run, Showunmi is considered a dark horse with potential to attract the youth vote and intellectual class. His campaign, if launched, is expected to leverage on his public engagement prowess and robust media presence.

2027 Election Predictions and Regional Dynamics

A political stakeholder and analyst in Abeokuta, who spoke on condition of anonymity, told Legit.ng that the 2027 election will be one of the most competitive in Ogun’s recent history. “It’s no longer just about party loyalty,” the analyst noted. “It’s about regional balance, candidate popularity, and performance record.”

The Yewa-Awori question is also expected to dominate political discourse. For decades, Ogun West has been advocating for a chance at the governorship, and 2027 could be a pivotal moment in this struggle. If the APC or PDP fields a strong candidate from the region, it could sway the dynamics significantly.

Moreover, internal party democracy will play a crucial role. For the APC, how Governor Abiodun manages succession politics could either unify or divide the party. Likewise, the PDP must resolve internal conflicts and present a united front if it hopes to capitalize on any APC missteps.

Fringe Aspirants and Emerging Movements

Aside from the major political players, several fringe aspirants and youth-led political movements are beginning to emerge, particularly in urban areas like Abeokuta, Ijebu-Ode, and Sagamu. These groups, often driven by disillusionment with traditional politics, may not win elections but could influence voter turnout and campaign narratives.

Political observers also anticipate that candidates from new or less dominant parties such as the Labour Party, Social Democratic Party (SDP), and the African Democratic Congress (ADC) may throw their hats into the ring to leverage rising discontent and youth activism.

 Countdown to a Fierce Contest

With two years to go, the 2027 Ogun governorship election is already shaping up to be a defining moment in the state’s political history. While party primaries are still far off, the early signs of strategic positioning, alliance-building, and grassroots mobilization indicate a fierce battle ahead.

Whether Ogun West finally gets its long-sought turn or another region secures the governorship will depend on the candidates’ ability to balance experience, regional equity, party loyalty, and public appeal. One thing is certain—Ogun 2027 is a race to watch.