Bwala Predicts Collapse of ADC-Led Opposition Coalition Within Six Months

Daniel Bwala, Special Adviser on Policy Communication to President Bola Tinubu, has confidently predicted the collapse of the newly formed opposition coalition under the African Democratic Congress (ADC). Speaking during an appearance on Channels Television’s Politics Today, Bwala said the coalition lacks ideological depth, policy alternatives, and a unifying vision, asserting that the alliance is doomed to fail within six months.

According to Bwala, the coalition, which includes prominent figures like Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, Rotimi Amaechi, David Mark, and Rauf Aregbesola, is made up of what he called “internally displaced politicians.” These individuals, he claimed, have not demonstrated any credible roadmap for governance or capacity to offer Nigerians meaningful alternatives to the current administration.

 “Internally Displaced Politicians” Without Vision – Bwala Fires Back

Bwala expressed skepticism over the viability of the coalition, labeling its members as politically inconsistent and lacking direction. “What I still find intriguing is that this coalition of internally displaced politicians has not been able to summon the courage to come up with alternative facts, alternative policies, or alternative programmes,” he stated.

He criticized the coalition’s strategy, which he said revolves solely around issuing press releases and launching criticisms against the ruling party without offering viable counterproposals. “They have not brought a single alternative policy to the table. The truth is, they lack vision and have not shown Nigerians they truly care,” Bwala added.

Bwala specifically took aim at Peter Obi, the Labour Party’s presidential candidate in the 2023 election. Reflecting on a recent interview, he claimed Obi failed to challenge or offer substantive disagreements with President Tinubu’s policies, thereby failing to distinguish himself as a credible opposition leader.

Asari-Dokubo Cuts Ties With Yoruba Politicians, Pledges Loyalty To The North

Coalition Headed for Internal Collapse Over Power Struggles

Delving deeper into the coalition’s structure, Bwala warned of looming internal conflict, especially over who would emerge as the presidential flagbearer for the 2027 elections. He cited a statement from Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed, Labour Party’s 2023 vice-presidential candidate, who reportedly expressed concern that everyone in the coalition wants to be president.

“This fantasy of coalition… we all know how it goes,” Bwala said. “For two to three weeks, they will romanticize their vision—‘we have ideas, we can do this.’ But after a month, when real discussions start, internal rivalry will tear them apart.”

Bwala confidently asserted that the alliance would not survive beyond six months, predicting that the idea of the coalition would “not even be a conversation” by then. “They will scatter,” he declared.

Claims of Peter Obi Stepping Down for Atiku Abubakar

In one of his most controversial claims, Bwala alleged that Peter Obi has effectively conceded his presidential ambition to Atiku Abubakar, the former Vice President and PDP candidate in the 2023 election. He suggested that Obi is now eyeing the vice-presidential ticket and could face competition from former transportation minister Rotimi Amaechi.

“Peter Obi is now a non-issue. He’s a non-starter. Already, he has conceded his presidential ambition to Alhaji Atiku Abubakar,” Bwala stated. He claimed there are discussions for Obi to serve as Director-General of the coalition’s campaign with a promise that Atiku would serve only one term, paving the way for Obi to run in 2031.

These assertions, however, run contrary to Obi’s recent statements where he reaffirmed his intention to run for president in 2027 and dismissed any claims of serving under another candidate.

ADC’s Role in 2027 Elections Under Scrutiny

The African Democratic Congress, once a fringe political party, has gained attention after several major opposition figures adopted it as a platform to challenge the ruling APC in the next general election. The alliance is viewed by many as a potential “third force” capable of altering the dynamics of Nigeria’s political duopoly.

However, Bwala remains unimpressed. He reiterated that without a coherent structure, a united vision, or a definitive flagbearer, the coalition lacks the strength to mount any real challenge. “They pose no threat to the presidency,” he insisted.

As political permutations continue ahead of the 2027 polls, Bwala’s bold predictions and insider claims have reignited debates around opposition unity, leadership ambition, and the future of Nigeria’s political coalitions. While some believe the ADC alliance could evolve into a formidable political machine, others agree with Bwala’s assessment that internal divisions may cripple the effort before it even begins.